Friday, January 16, 2004
 
Game 3

Let's get this out of the way early: Navy and Army will lose on Saturday.

The other two games are Lehigh at AU and Lafayette at HC. LU, AU, and LC are all 2-0 in conference play. LC is looking at a 20 win season if they end up winning the league--not bad for a team that was under .500 last year.

HC vs. LC is the most intriguing matchup this week. Both teams have a steady, quality backcourt, but their frontcourts are suspect. HC has played good defense in their wins, but I'm curious whether their offense is good enough to keep up with LC. HC is averaging 60 points a game, while LC averages 76. LC shoots nearly 50% from the field, HC 40%. The only way HC can win here is if they limit LC to ~60 points. This should be a close one, and HC will be helped by getting back to the friendly confines of the Hart Center. I'll say LC by 4.

AU ought to beat Lehigh, but I'm not really sure what to expect, other than that I'm going to have to look at LU's ugly uniforms for ~3 hours. AU by 10.

The real drama unfolds when Army tries to break the 40 point threshold.
 
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